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Russia » Outlook


RussiaInternational Property Brokers forecast that the real GDP growth will slow somewhat in 2007-08, although high oil prices will continue to underpin buoyant expansion of domestic demand, limiting the extent of the output slowdown. Strong unsterilised foreign-exchange inflows mean that inflation will ease only moderately. The current-account surplus will narrow gradually, but is projected still to amount to about US$75bn (5.7% of GDP) in 2008.

Real GDP growth in Russia slowed to 6.5% year on year in the third quarter of 2006, from 7.5% in the second. Nine-month year-on-year growth amounted to 6.6%. Most of the available data suggest a robust performance in the fourth quarter, but one probably not strong enough to push full-year 2006 real GDP growth above an estimated 6.4%.

 

Russia Economic Outlook

 

 

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